Summary of PCI without ACS Model based on California Inpatient and Outpatient Data, 2020-2021
Outcome: MACCE-90 (Multiple Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebral Events within 90 Days of PCI)
This outcome is determined based on the occurrence of 1 or more of the following events within 90 days of the PCI date: All events are weighted equally.
Only patients are included who did not leave against medical advice, who were residents of California at the time of the PCI, and who had PCI prior to 2021-10-02.
Model Statistics:
Number of Observations: 35,108
% of Observations with Outcome: 7.9%
C-statistic: 0.706
Pseudo-R2: 10.1
Hosmer-Lemeshow P-Value: 0.021
Model Details:
Risk Factor N Cases % Events Estimate Standard Error Wald Chi2 P-value Odds Ratio (OR) Lower 95% CL for OR Upper 95% CL for OR
Intercept-3.30.12584.70.000
Age at Admission18-<50 1,7477.3-0.10.10.60.4500.90.71.1
50-<552,0486.9-0.10.10.70.4120.90.71.1
55-<603,4687.30.00.10.10.7411.00.81.2
60-<655,0076.5-0.20.15.00.0250.80.71.0
65-<705,9837.9Reference
70-<755,8107.5-0.10.12.20.1420.90.81.0
75-<804,9499.00.10.10.60.4261.10.91.2
80 or older6,0969.60.00.10.30.5751.00.91.2
Patient SexMale 25,5457.2Reference
Female9,5639.90.30.040.10.0001.31.21.5
Patient RaceWhite 19,7967.2Reference
Non-White15,3128.80.10.011.20.0011.21.11.3
Underweight / Weight Loss53731.81.30.1149.00.0003.62.94.4
Atrial Fibrillation and Flutter5,73511.70.20.119.90.0001.31.11.4
Cardiogenic Shock33543.21.80.1196.90.0005.94.67.5
Cardiomyopathy1,84010.2-0.20.14.60.0320.80.71.0
Heart Failure9,77114.00.70.0231.80.0002.11.92.3
Chronic Lung Disease2,91611.40.10.13.80.0521.11.01.3
Cerebrovascular Disease1,63612.20.30.112.90.0001.41.11.6
Diabetes15,4379.80.20.025.50.0001.31.21.4
Dialysis4457.01.90.333.70.0006.93.613.2
Peripheral Vascular Disease3,65310.30.10.14.70.0301.11.01.3
Renal Failure7,57113.80.50.097.30.0001.61.51.8
Status of Procedure Urgent3,04410.30.40.134.70.0001.51.31.7
Notes:
If a patient had more than one intervention event of the same type on different dates during the index admission, only the intervention on the earliest date is included for fitting the model.
CL: Confidence Limit